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Auditing Return Conditioning as a Control Knob: An Offline Diagnostic for Decision Transformer Recommendation

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Abstract

Offline return-to-go (RTG) sweeps can test whether a recommender conditioned on return is controllable, but the intervention is rarely audited. Rewriting every historical RTG token creates an increasingly synthetic context, while rewriting only the current token is more local. We test this distinction in an offline setting with a fixed window. On MovieLens 25M and MyAnimeList 2020 (MAL), we evaluate a Decision Transformer using an RTG locality ladder, a control without RTG, a logged match and score reward check, and a within-trajectory shuffled RTG ablation. On MovieLens, a $K=20$ intervention that covers the full context, applied only to real context positions, shifts the share of Crime predictions by $+23.61 \pm 2.96$ percentage points from the validation 5th to 95th percentile, whereas changing only the current slot shifts it by $+1.77 \pm 1.17$ points. The shuffled RTG model largely removes this response ($+2.08 \pm 1.20$ points at $K=20$). On MAL, the same protocol does not produce a Drama response: $K=20$ changes Drama by $-0.03 \pm 0.07$ points, and $K=1$ by $-0.01 \pm 0.01$. Genre prediction accuracy is numerically close across real RTG, no RTG, and shuffled RTG, and at $K=1$ logged match rates and matched ratings change little. Because dataset and focus-genre selection were exploratory, these magnitudes are descriptive; the cross-diagnostic pattern across locality, shuffled RTG, and the null result on MAL does not establish reward control. We propose four checks: intervention locality, a no-RTG baseline, a reward check, and RTG-content ablation.

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Publication notes

Author note
Accepted at CONSEQUENCES '26, the 5th Workshop on Causality, Counterfactuals and Sequential Decision- Making for Recommender Systems, co-located with ACM RecSys 2026. 5 pages, 2 figures