HLSR: Hybrid Live Forecast Selective Dynamic Vehicle Rerouting for Real-Time Congestion Avoidance

Abstract

Urban traffic congestion reduces productivity and increases travel cost and emissions. Network-wide live travel-time shortest-path rerouting can be highly effective in simulation, but assumes that essentially every on-road vehicle is replanned every decision period. We propose HLSR, a selective hybrid live--forecast vehicle rerouting framework that fuses live edge speeds with short-horizon forecasts under limited intervention scope. Building on dual-threshold congestion detection, calibrated upstream selection, and driver-tailored travel-time prediction, HLSR further introduces approaching-vehicle expansion, travel-time-weighted k-shortest-path generation, and a horizon-dependent hybrid live--forecast segment speed used in multi-cost route allocation.