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Post-Training in Time Series Foundation Models: A Unifying Framework

Authors

Do you know Shifeng Xie?You can claim authorship or link another user.Do you know Ambroise Odonnat?You can claim authorship or link another user.Do you know Zehao Xiao?You can claim authorship or link another user.Do you know Lei Zan?You can claim authorship or link another user.Do you know Malik Tiomoko?You can claim authorship or link another user.Do you know Lujia Pan?You can claim authorship or link another user.Do you know Themis Palpanas?You can claim authorship or link another user.Do you know Boris N. Oreshkin?You can claim authorship or link another user.Do you know Chenghao Liu?You can claim authorship or link another user.Do you know Keli Zhang?You can claim authorship or link another user.

Abstract

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have emerged as general-purpose models for time series analysis, but pretraining alone is often insufficient for reliable downstream deployment. Bridging this gap requires further intervention to handle domain shift, task heterogeneity, limited supervision, and computational constraints, which motivates post-training as a broad class of methods to adapt, augment, compose, calibrate, or specialize pretrained TSFMs for downstream tasks. In this work, we analyze TSFM post-training methods based on their locus of intervention in the prediction pipeline, yielding five categories: parameter adaptation, context augmentation, model composition, output processing and uncertainty control, and compression and specialization. Within each category, we study main representative methods and discuss their current limitations. We further identify future directions toward controlled adaptation, reliable context construction, uncertainty-aware model composition, calibrated output processing, and deployment-aware specialization. Overall, by providing a unifying framework for the emerging TSFM post-training landscape, this work aims to support future research to navigate the design space between a pretrained TSFM and its reliable downstream deployment.

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